Implementing an Advanced Open-Source Activity Based Travel Demand Model to Support Rural Transportation Planning and Policy Decisions: Phase 2 – Calibration

Travel demand models (TDMs) are used to support state and regional transportation planning and policy decisions. TDMs were originally developed to forecast passenger traffic volumes with the primary objective of identifying investments to reduce traffic congestion. Today, TDMs are used to support a much broader range of purposes, including multimodal and freight transportation planning, demand management strategies, forecasting transportation access outcomes, evaluating network resiliency to disasters, and modeling air quality and public health impacts. However, the aggregate, trip based TDMs used by most regional and state transportation agencies lack the fidelity and sensitivity to evaluate contemporary planning and policy decisions. Activity based travel demand models (ABMs) offer substantial improvements and their agent-based simulation platforms allow for integration with agent-based population growth and land use simulation tools, among others. Despite their advantages, the complexity of ABMs has constrained their adoption to all but the largest metropolitan areas, often with support from academic researchers. Smaller urban areas and rural states like Vermont could benefit substantially from adopting ABMs. The goal of this project is to continue current NCST-funded work on implementing a statewide ABM in Vermont using the POLARIS modeling system developed by Argonne National Lab. The current project is focused on initial model setup and testing. This Phase 2 project will focus on calibration and validation. The expected outcome is a calibrated implementation of the POLARIS modeling system for the state of Vermont that can be used for the evaluation of statewide and regional transportation planning and policy decisions and to advance research on rural transportation challenges.

Research Area

Tags