Publications

The National Center for Sustainable Transportation has primarily published research reports, white papers / research synthesis papers, and policy/research briefs. NCST funding has also supported the production of journal articles, conference papers, books, dissertations, theses, presentations, posters, and more.

Modeling multi-modal network equilibrium with active transportation and shared mobility

Research Product Type
Dissertation / Thesis
This study models the active transportation and vehicular travel traveling modes in a multi-modal network problem taking into account TNC services, such as, e-hailing, e-pooling, and express pool. The objective is to analyze passengers' choices among active transportation, solo driving, and TNC services, considering various trade-offs related to health, monetary, time, and inconvenience costs, and their subsequent impacts on traffic network performance.

Mode Share Changes in California: An Exploratory Analysis of Factors Affecting Decreases in Walking, Biking and Transit Use from 2012 to 2017

Research Product Type
White Paper
This paper compares factors impacting mode shares in 2012 and in 2017 to answer part of the question about why we see this decrease in the use of active modes over this period and what types of planning, programs, and policy actions may help to reverse this trend and get California back on track to increase walking, biking and the use of public transit.

Measuring, Analyzing and Identifying Small-Area VMT Reduction

Research Product Type
Research Report
The goal of this project was to document on-the-ground changes in the built environment in selected communities over a two-decade period and assess whether changes in VMT have occurred over the same period. A secondary aim was to explore the contribution of local and/or regional policy change and public investments such as transit, bike, and pedestrian infrastructure as well as private development investments to the observed on-the-ground changes to the built environment.

The Policy and Politics of Highway Expansions

Research Product Type
Dissertation / Thesis
This mixed-methods dissertation explores questions related to the governance landscape and the institutional and political factors that surround highway expansion projects.

Rural–nonrural divide in car access and unmet travel need in the United States

Research Product Type
Associated Publication
This paper addresses asks and answers the following questions: (1) What are the scope and scale of rural car access in the U.S. and what are the factors associated with not having a car? (2) How do rural carless residents get around relative to their nonrural peers? (3) What are the consequences of not having car access in rural areas?

Estimating last-mile deliveries and shopping travel emissions by 2050

Research Product Type
Associated Publication
This study investigates the potential ramifications of e-commerce on shopping behaviors, travel, and residential deliveries by the year 2050. The study underscores the significance of contemplating the implementation of clean energy fleets and effective transportation strategies to mitigate the negative externalities related to shopping activities.

Role of Vehicle Technology on Use: Joint analysis of the choice of Plug-in Electric Vehicle ownership and miles traveled

Research Product Type
Research Report
The report explores the necessity to correctly estimate the preference for vehicle holdings of households as well as the vehicle miles traveled by vehicle body- and fuel-type to project future Vehicle Miles Traveled changes and mobile source emission levels. The report presents the application of a utility-based model for multiple discreteness that combines multiple vehicle types with usage in an integrated model, specifically the MDCEV model.

Evaluating Alternative Strategies for Traffic Reduction in Los Angeles

Research Product Type
Research Report
This project uses high-frequency data from the Los Angeles metropolitan area combined with an instrument that varies spatially and temporally to estimate the causal impact of an additional vehicle mile traveled on travel times. The researchers estimate that at peak times an additional trip reduces speed by, on average, 0.22%. They find the optimal toll at peak times is 33 cents per mile, with the toll being lower, even zero, off-peak.

Technical and Economic Assessment of Transportation Electrification in Heavy-Duty On-Road and Off-Road Applications

Research Product Type
Dissertation / Thesis
This dissertation focuses on the assessment of technical feasibility and economic workability of BEVs in a variety of heavy-duty on- and off-road applications.In the on-road HDV segment, battery electric trucks (BETs) have become commercially available in recent years, but their ability to operate at the same level as conventional diesel trucks was unclear.

Impacts of Connected and Automated Vehicles on Travel Demand and Emissions in California

Research Product Type
Associated Publication
This study helps understand how the anticipated emergence of CAVs will affect various aspects of society and transportation, including travel demand, vehicle miles traveled, energy consumption, and emissions of greenhouse gases and other pollutants. The research team designed a set of future system configurations under the California Statewide Travel Demand Model framework to simulate scenarios for the deployment of passenger CAVs in California by 2050.