Publications

The National Center for Sustainable Transportation primarily publishes research reports, white papers / research synthesis papers, and policy/research briefs. NCST funding also supports the production of journal articles, conference papers, books, dissertations, theses, presentations, posters, and more.

Technical and Economic Assessment of Transportation Electrification in Heavy-Duty On-Road and Off-Road Applications

Research Product Type
Dissertation / Thesis
This dissertation focuses on the assessment of technical feasibility and economic workability of BEVs in a variety of heavy-duty on- and off-road applications.In the on-road HDV segment, battery electric trucks (BETs) have become commercially available in recent years, but their ability to operate at the same level as conventional diesel trucks was unclear.

The Policy and Politics of Highway Expansions

Research Product Type
Dissertation / Thesis
This mixed-methods dissertation explores questions related to the governance landscape and the institutional and political factors that surround highway expansion projects.

Estimating last-mile deliveries and shopping travel emissions by 2050

Research Product Type
Associated Publication
This study investigates the potential ramifications of e-commerce on shopping behaviors, travel, and residential deliveries by the year 2050. The study underscores the significance of contemplating the implementation of clean energy fleets and effective transportation strategies to mitigate the negative externalities related to shopping activities.

Role of Vehicle Technology on Use: Joint analysis of the choice of Plug-in Electric Vehicle ownership and miles traveled

Research Product Type
Research Report
The report explores the necessity to correctly estimate the preference for vehicle holdings of households as well as the vehicle miles traveled by vehicle body- and fuel-type to project future Vehicle Miles Traveled changes and mobile source emission levels. The report presents the application of a utility-based model for multiple discreteness that combines multiple vehicle types with usage in an integrated model, specifically the MDCEV model.

Evaluating Alternative Strategies for Traffic Reduction in Los Angeles

Research Product Type
Research Report
This project uses high-frequency data from the Los Angeles metropolitan area combined with an instrument that varies spatially and temporally to estimate the causal impact of an additional vehicle mile traveled on travel times. The researchers estimate that at peak times an additional trip reduces speed by, on average, 0.22%. They find the optimal toll at peak times is 33 cents per mile, with the toll being lower, even zero, off-peak.

Impacts of Connected and Automated Vehicles on Travel Demand and Emissions in California

Research Product Type
Associated Publication
This study helps understand how the anticipated emergence of CAVs will affect various aspects of society and transportation, including travel demand, vehicle miles traveled, energy consumption, and emissions of greenhouse gases and other pollutants. The research team designed a set of future system configurations under the California Statewide Travel Demand Model framework to simulate scenarios for the deployment of passenger CAVs in California by 2050.

E-bike Incentive Programs Reduce GHGs and Support Recreational Travel

Research Product Type
Policy Brief
As yet, little is known about the efficacy of e-bike incentive programs in changing travel behavior. To understand the potential of these programs in this area, UC Davis researchers analyzed survey data from rebate recipients in Northern California and evaluated rebate programs for effects of e-bike ownership on travel behavior.

Do Slow Streets Encourage More Dockless Travel? Evidence from Electric Scooter Usage in Four Cities

Research Product Type
Policy Brief
A research team at the University of Southern California collaborated with Lime, an e-scooter company, to analyze Slow Streets programs in the cities of Oakland, San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Portland. Using two statistical approaches, they examined dockless e-scooter travel at four different times of day and overall weekly and monthly averages of dockless e-scooter trips. 

Assessing Sustainability of E-Commerce Goods Distribution

Research Product Type
Dissertation / Thesis
As e-retailers compete with increasingly consumer-focused service, urban freight witnesses a significant increase in associated distribution costs and negative externalities including greenhouse gas emissions advancing global climate change, as well as criteria pollutant emissions worsening local air quality and thus affecting those living close to logistics clusters. Thus, the author considers the potential of e-commerce to render economically viable, environmentally efficient, and socially equitable urban goods flow, which is pertinent to understand the opportunities and challenges associated with urban freight in light of the increasingly consumer-focused e-commerce distribution.

New Tool for Gig Drivers Considering Going Electric

Research Product Type
Research Brief
By 2030, the state is targeting 90% of passenger miles traveled on TNCs to be fueled by electricity. To support this objective, UC Davis researchers developed an online tool to help gig drivers understand their potential cost savings from EVs.

The impacts of automated vehicles on Center city parking

Research Product Type
Associated Publication
The potential for automated vehicles (AVs) to reduce parking in central cities has generated much excitement among urban planners. However, a reduction in parking could be accompanied by increased demand for curbside DO/PU space with related movements to enter and exit the flow of traffic.This study uses a microscopic road traffic model with local travel activity data to simulate personal AV parking scenarios in San Francisco’s downtown central business district (CBD).